Thursday, June 24, 2010

If you believe this..... you will believe anything!

Utah has a reputation for being the fraud capital of the country. There has been a correlation between the exploitation of the local beliefs and the predominate religion and the fraud. If you can show that you are a card carrying mormon (or you pretend to be) you can get into peoples wallets and manipulate their emotions based upon your connection to their belief system. I have found two examples of this manipulation in the last week.



The first was an amusing billboard and corresponding website for "LDS Agents". It seems that these capitalists have found a way to connect with Mormons around the country through real estate transactions. It is not that they are great real estate professionals that sets them apart it is the fact that they share a similar religious ideal and as a result they are more qualified to serve you in your home purchase. The premise is laughable however it must be an effective marketing tool to justify their overhead.

The second is a little more concerning. I was in our local grocery store and saw a poster on the community board for a conference on holistic living. I have been a vocal critic of alternative medicine for a while. This conference is called LDS holistic living.  There seems to be an attempt to sell someone something based upon a common religious belief.  While I say "sell"  you might say "exploit" based upon a common religious belief.



I am always concerned about niche markets designed to prey upon religious people; because, the devout  seem to be ripe to manipulation in many ways based upon their ability to suspend disbelief.  They also have an admirable quality of wanting to believe in the inherent good in people....again leaving them ripe.

Of concern with the above listed organization is the list of speakers and the suspect level of expertise they have in their field.  Included are Natropathic Physicians, Vaccination deniers, and yoga instructors all of which have taken on the suspect roles of encouraging the potential attendees to give up on traditional western medicine and practices in favor on unproven and in many cases dis-proven remedies.

Here are some facts.  First not only is there no link to vaccinations and autism but it has been studied, published, and peer reviewed and proven not once but in at least three major medical studies.  Second, there is no proof that organic food is better for you than commercially grown food.  Third, there is no evidence that vitamin supplements, herbs, and Acai  berries do anything but give you expensive strong smelling urine.

So why do I care?  Because bad science results in attacks on our health.  Not just the health of the person engaged in the "alternative" therapies but the health of the community as a whole.  This is evidenced in the recent out break in pertussis discussed here:  Follow the link article and view the video.  For some reason I cannot get it to embed.

Pertussis is preventable but we are choosing snake oil over science.  Even in the face of overwhelming evidence the vaccine deniers refuse to let go of their ill informed beliefs at the expense of our health, their children's health and even their own.

The problem as I see it is "snake oil" salesmen are exploiting a faithful people.  They do not have to really quantify their claims and any real effect of their treatments is largely anecdotal.  There is no causative correlation to their claims and the result their patients feel.  In many cases the resulting confirmation bias is self deluding and the real underlying problem is at least temporarily denied.  When allowed to go unchecked many of the underlying problems will be debilitating and some fatal.


The video below (originally posted by PZ Myers)  has some language and it does not tread lightly on ones beliefs.




I just have one question to those who sell this.... when your child is in imminent jeopardy of dying... do you continue down the holistic path or do you seek the best doctor and highest trained specialist western medicine has to offer.  Do you defer to faith alone or do you bring a scientist into the room?

Friday, May 7, 2010

The Tea Party Movement is for transparency! ...or is it?1?




Pete Ashdown, Internet Entrepreneur and founder of X Mission put this up on Youtube.  Okay, full disclosure... he is (says in a loud whisper) A Democrat!  Apparently while campaigning for public office, taking donations from the public for his senate bid and lecturing us on the fabric of the Constitution and warning us it is under attack, Mike Lee's campaign wants to limit how the information gets out to the citizens and delegates who are likely to put him in a two way race for the US Senate.  Ashdown is a voter and a potential constituant. 

Now controlling the message is something amoral corporate machines do and something dictators do or something we would expect from , dare I say it... communism!  It is not something that a candidate who supports liberty and free speech would engage in..... is it?

Come on GOP Delegates and Tea Party activists... call this man on his restrictions of speech and his lack of campaign transparency.  This man and his campaign are engaged in hypocritical activities and will say and do almost anything to get elected and if you support this end justifies the means tactic you are no better than the elected officials you are railing against. 

Special thanks to Glen Warchol for putting this up

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Causal v Correlative

There is a bunch of information available at our finger tips. Google and the spread of information around the web has been one of the major advancements of the spread of that information and... misinformation.

Years ago I took my kids to the pediatrician for a checkup. We discussed the importance of sleep, good diet and exercise. When I asserted that we gave our children multivitamins... there was a pause.... and he said that if the child gets a enough nutrition there was really no need for a supplement. I could tell by his interjection that he did not believe in supplements.

You can find anecdotal evidence of the effectiveness of vitamins, the acai berry, antioxidants and a whole host of other remedies for good health. I believe that is born out of our belief that we can substitute good healthy habits for a pill. However, when you carefully evaluate the information on the web you discover that the claims have not been evaluated by the FDA. So you now see there is correlative evidence or anecdotal evidence but not a casual link between what the positive effect and the supplement.

This all turns evil when the correlative evidence starts to taint things that are important to our society’s health such as vaccines. This weekend a friend posted an link to a natural health site claiming that a vaccine was dangerous. When I "snopes" the information I found the evidence was correlative not causal. Millions of doses had been given of the vaccine and about 500 people had claimed side effects and 32 people had died. However there was no direct link to the reported symptoms and or deaths. I believe correlative evidence requires a study on something as important as vaccines and other medications.

However, there has been recent studies on the MMR vaccine and the correlative evidence that it causes autism. The studies have all shown there is no causal link to autism and the vaccine. However there is still an army of crusaders who are holding on the debunked belief. This is discussed in the Skepchick Podcast: 05 Just the Vax: Are Vaccines Safe? .

You can Google and find anything that supports your opinion or your beliefs even if they are wrong. Michael Specter gives this TED talk and discusses the dangers or science denial.






I quoted Sara Mayhew two posts ago but I think her quote here is again applicable.

"If I could get the world to respond to one question, it would be: do we have the courage to let go of our beliefs in order to grab on to what is true?” ~Sara Mayhew

Friday, April 16, 2010

Curmudgeon Starts a New Arts Blog

I have two big interest Arts and Skepticism (I have several moderate interests and a billion minor interests as well). I find myself sometimes concerned that those who know me as a theatre enthusiast will take offense to my skeptical blog. I also want folks to know me by my deeds not my thoughts or beliefs. I am not ashamed of my skepticism not will I stop blogging in the manner I have here. I just feel that a different topic requires a different venue.

So to feed my desire to discuss art and the Arts I have started a new blog. "Curmudgeon's Art Blog" is now up and running. You will find my latest endeavors with South Jordan Community Theatre, comments about shows I have seen recently, and new and events that affect the Arts in Utah and South Jordan.

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Young and Wise

"If I could get the world to respond to one question, it would be: do we have the courage to let go of our beliefs in order to grab on to what is true?” ~Sara Mayhew




.... are we seeing a corporation supporting skepticism?

Thanks to Rebecca Watson of Skepchick for putting this up!

Monday, March 29, 2010

45 And Counting


I turned 45 on Saturday. For me it was a somewhat emotional day. Not because I had come to the sudden realization that half my life was over and I had accomplished nothing; Not because I was in the middle of a mid life crisis; not because my children broke my laptop computer.

The reality is that I really don't care for birthdays and especially my own. Every March 27th a "Kevin New Year" begins and the old one closes. Sometimes I stop to think about what I have accomplished in my life and it always seems to me that there is little to reflect upon.

This year was different. The run up to the day was as anyone would expect. Uneventful with probing questions from my wife as to what I wanted for my special day. They day before the first facebook notification came in wishing me a happy birthday. From that post and well in to the 28th there was a steady stream of birthday wishes.

Okay, I am aware that Facebook kind or makes it easy for folks to send birthday wishes and just because I get a few postings I shouldn't be deluded into thinking I am "popular". I wasn't. What did catch my attention was the occasional acknowledgement from the folks who I had some how influenced either from my blog, my careers, the theatre company I helped co-found, or the folks who are just my good friends and of course my lovely wife and my children.

I hope at 45 I am just at the beginning of leaving a small mark on the history of this planet. In the short term... it is good to have friends and so many of them. Thank you all for wishing me a happy birthday.... and it was.

Friday, March 26, 2010

Remodled the Blog--Rearranged the Furniture


I moved things around and found a template more to my liking. For those of you on blogger they have a new tool. Blogger Template Designer is a draft or beta product but it is easy to use. Feel free to let me know what you think or what you might change. I'll feel free to accept or reject your ideas (it is my blog after all).